From Pretoria to collapse: how the 2022 peace deal unravelled
The agreement that ended the last war left the hardest questions for later. Four years on, those questions brought the parties back to conflict.
On 2 November 2022, the federal government and the TPLF signed the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement in Pretoria, South Africa, under African Union mediation. It stopped the fighting and restored some services to Tigray, but deferred several core disputes.
What the agreement promised
The deal set out disarmament of Tigrayan forces, restoration of federal authority and services, an inclusive interim regional administration until elections, and resolution of contested territories under the constitution. It also implied the withdrawal of foreign forces, a reference widely read as meaning Eritrean troops.
The interim administration years
Getachew Reda led the Tigray Interim Regional Administration from 2023. A split inside the TPLF deepened over the following two years, and in April 2025 Lieutenant-General Tadesse Werede replaced him. In April 2026 Prime Minister Abiy extended Tadesse's mandate by a year. The TPLF called the extension a unilateral breach of Pretoria.
The break
In May 2026 the TPLF moved to reassert control over the regional government. The federal government deployed troops along the regional borders and restricted fuel and budget transfers. Elections planned for June were not held. By August, drone strikes were reported against TPLF officials, and in September the conflict escalated into open fighting.
A ceasefire that postpones every hard question only buys time. The question is what that time was used for.
Unresolved issues still include the status of Western Tigray, the return of displaced people, the presence of Eritrean forces, and who holds legitimate authority in the region.